Working out what's happening in markets and frontier tech, before the consensus emerges.
Praxis over theory.
All human flourishing is downstream of technology.
The arc of history bends toward exponential abundance.
It's complex systems, all the way down.
In markets, price is the only truth.
Progress is a compounding wave.
A live regime detection platform for financial markets. Most models tell you where the market is going. This one tells you where it is now — Extremes, Neutral, or Danger — updated daily as conditions evolve.
Explore MacroContext →A weekly research publication on financial systems. The regime call every Monday — which behavioral state markets are currently in, which signals drove the classification, and what the research is showing about how to think about it.
Subscribe to the Research →Published 2022. A rigorous risk framework for institutional crypto exposure. Classical models weren't built for this asset class. Written for family offices and wealth managers who needed one that worked.
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Currently building MacroContext — a live regime detection platform for financial markets — and publishing research through the AppliedComplexity Newsletter.
Previously: CIO at TrueCode Capital (systematic crypto fund), founder of Engage Traffic ($30M+ revenue). Author of Cryptocurrency Risk Management (Rethink Press).
Contributor to CBS, Reuters, and the Wall Street Journal. Colorado.
My Story →A weekly research publication on quantitative methods and financial systems. The model's current regime classification, the signals behind it, and notes on the research.
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